Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +10 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -6.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.4 (-15.4) | 147.1 (+24.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -6.2 (-16.2) | 149.8 (+22.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -5.2 (-15.2) | 148.7 (+23.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.7 (-15.7) | 148.7 (+23.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | UNCO 100 – 95 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2021 | SUU 91 – 83 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#144) | -0.9 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#96) | 0.36 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#104) | 0.28 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#91) | 0.565 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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