South Florida
Bulls
73
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
Temple
Owls
Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | USF +138 TEM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.4 (+4.4) | 135.9 (+8.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -1.1 (+3.1) | 133.0 (+11.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.8 (+3.8) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.6 (+4.6) | 136.2 (+7.8) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 5-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Away | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | 1.4 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | 0.12 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#158) | 0.39 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#195) | 0.478 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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