Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
St. John's Red Storm
69 – 77 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference Big East
Seton Hall Pirates
Big East Conference · Madison Square Garden (Neutral) · March 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -3.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money SJU +150 / HALL -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total SJU win
Actual HALL +8 146 Lost
Massey HALL -1.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 155.8 (-9.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 52% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -1.5 (-6.5) 150.7 (-4.7) 45% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HALL -0.9 (-7.1) 148.2 (-2.2) 45% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HALL -1.6 (-6.4) 152.4 (-6.4) 46% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -1.3 (-6.7) 150.9 (-4.9) 42% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 SJU 78 – 68 HALL
Mar 7, 2026 SJU 72 – 65 HALL
Jan 21, 2026 SJU 65 – 60 HALL
Mar 1, 2025 SJU 71 – 61 HALL
Jan 19, 2025 SJU 79 – 51 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SJU HALL
Overall 16-11 14-13
Conference 10-9 10-9
Home 11-3 7-4
Away 4-6 6-7
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.0 71.3
Avg Pts Against 76.7 69.7
Massey 8.1 (#70) 9.6 (#57)
Bradley-Terry 1.71 (#55) 1.61 (#62)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.32 (#53) 2.27 (#55)
RPI 0.535 (#102) 0.555 (#67)
Shooting & Four Factors SJU HALL
FG% 45.2% 44.5%
3PT% 35.0% 32.3%
REB / G 35.8 34.2
OREB / G 11.1 10.0
AST / TO 1.29 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 50.5%
TOV% 17.1% 18.8%
ORB% 29.3% 29.3%
FT Rate 21.5% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 21.9% 19.5%
DRB% 69.7% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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