Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -350 ALCN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -9.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.5 (+14.5) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -7.1 (+15.9) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -8.2 (+14.8) | 146.1 (-13.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -8.1 (+14.9) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TXSO 92 – 87 ALCN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TXSO 72 – 71 ALCN |
| Mar 4, 2025 | TXSO 75 – 59 ALCN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TXSO 66 – 57 ALCN |
| Mar 5, 2024 | ALCN 82 – 79 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 6-13 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Home | 8-2 | 4-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#256) | -14.9 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#190) | -2.13 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#237) | -3.26 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#139) | 0.467 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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