Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -600 BTLR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +31 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -11.2 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -9.5 (+21.5) | 136.4 (+6.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -7.8 (+23.2) | 135.3 (+7.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.0 (+22.0) | 137.7 (+5.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -9.1 (+21.9) | 136.8 (+6.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#15) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#24) | 1.05 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#22) | 1.40 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#64) | 0.484 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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