Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
43–15 on winners spread MAE 8.0 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland @ Illinois +20.8 144.6 91% 70–89 ✓
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +9.4 139.3 78% 69–91 ✓
Murray State @ Drake -4.7 154.7 28% 90–101 ✗
Indiana State @ Bradley +7.0 151.7 78% 68–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +0.4 143.8 49% 66–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Richmond +3.3 139.3 69% 69–68 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +6.1 134.7 73% 63–68 ✓
Tulane @ Florida Atlantic +11.6 144.8 85% 74–79 ✓
Army @ Bucknell +2.1 141.2 46% 87–84 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +13.7 150.5 85% 56–91 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian -0.0 145.0 42% 83–87 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +11.6 143.6 85% 51–66 ✓
Xavier @ Creighton +6.8 148.1 76% 93–94 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Boston College -1.3 134.4 35% 62–65 ✗
Holy Cross @ Navy +9.2 131.7 79% 68–85 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +16.0 152.4 89% 85–79 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy -0.2 152.2 49% 83–76 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Oakland +17.9 169.1 90% 103–85 ✗
Furman @ The Citadel -10.2 141.3 16% 75–77 ✗
Western Carolina @ Mercer +13.2 156.4 88% 76–88 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga -6.3 142.9 26% 67–66 ✓
Troy @ Old Dominion -5.4 152.6 26% 83–77 ✓
Texas @ Kentucky +6.8 152.0 80% 80–85 ✓
North Alabama @ Queens University +11.9 154.7 88% 62–87 ✓
East Carolina @ Wichita State +14.6 143.7 86% 60–77 ✓
Liberty @ Western Kentucky -1.5 144.7 44% 76–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston +6.1 156.6 75% 87–93 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso +0.7 136.5 50% 63–69 ✓
UTSA @ North Texas +15.1 129.3 88% 62–81 ✓
Temple @ Rice -2.5 140.5 38% 69–65 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa +8.1 147.1 77% 66–83 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +4.1 154.8 69% 68–64 ✗
Tarleton State @ UT Arlington +4.6 140.8 67% 64–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -13.1 150.9 15% 70–84 ✗
Cincinnati @ Arizona +15.6 142.4 86% 51–77 ✓
Washington @ Nebraska +12.7 143.2 86% 66–76 ✓
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +30.1 142.7 91% 60–84 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State +6.1 128.2 69% 54–59 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +12.8 138.0 86% 74–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Arizona State +0.7 140.5 52% 75–63 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Syracuse +1.4 147.9 53% 76–74 ✗
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M +9.8 158.0 83% 68–88 ✓
Washington State @ San Diego -1.4 147.5 47% 92–96 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Seattle U +5.5 135.2 71% 59–69 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +6.3 135.6 71% 64–73 ✓
Oregon State @ Saint Mary's +16.8 142.5 89% 51–81 ✓
Northwestern @ USC +6.6 146.1 74% 74–68 ✗
San Diego State @ Grand Canyon +0.5 144.3 55% 69–70 ✓
UL Monroe @ Marshall +14.2 154.6 88% 60–115 ✓
Louisiana @ App State +8.5 127.8 71% 58–72 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +12.4 151.5 88% 74–79 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay +5.0 148.3 74% 62–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia -3.5 147.9 35% 86–65 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell -2.7 143.7 38% 77–68 ✓
NJIT @ UMBC +5.9 141.2 71% 74–87 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +9.6 132.4 86% 82–88 ✓
UAlbany @ Maine -2.0 125.3 37% 49–52 ✗
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +3.2 140.7 63% 81–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.