Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 9.7 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Virginia Tech +3.6 150.2 65% 75–71 ✗
Missouri State @ Evansville +1.0 140.0 61% 74–64 ✗
Drexel @ Elon -6.8 140.8 29% 89–69 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -1.0 133.9 45% 73–49 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +10.7 149.1 85% 72–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +1.8 141.3 59% 70–54 ✗
Bryant @ New Hampshire +4.0 154.8 68% 89–74 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -4.4 144.0 33% 66–69 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -5.9 147.8 29% 79–58 ✓
Utah Valley @ UT Rio Grande Valley -3.9 143.3 34% 68–76 ✗
Cincinnati @ Baylor +6.8 152.4 74% 59–62 ✓
California @ Oregon +11.6 151.9 85% 73–80 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -5.3 146.6 28% 66–58 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +2.7 140.4 58% 76–58 ✗
North Dakota State @ Omaha +4.9 145.8 74% 92–96 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oral Roberts -0.3 139.5 43% 87–76 ✓
Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon +11.8 139.9 86% 48–74 ✓
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +5.0 137.4 68% 53–68 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +0.2 154.1 54% 81–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State +16.7 142.1 89% 42–66 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama +2.6 146.3 60% 81–72 ✗
Alabama @ Mississippi State -0.4 152.1 38% 82–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah -2.5 153.5 35% 84–82 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +13.3 140.3 88% 64–81 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +13.0 144.5 87% 47–90 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +0.7 133.3 50% 64–66 ✓
San José State @ Air Force +0.9 136.2 47% 70–67 ✗
USC @ Colorado +7.1 151.0 77% 58–68 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego +1.5 147.5 63% 83–77 ✗
Portland @ San Francisco +19.8 143.3 91% 69–96 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -8.6 134.8 17% 86–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +0.3 152.7 51% 76–85 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i +5.4 132.5 70% 56–63 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +17.7 145.4 90% 67–80 ✓
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +16.3 155.6 88% 73–86 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State +11.7 135.8 84% 55–73 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State -3.6 149.5 36% 112–86 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +2.6 144.3 64% 70–87 ✓
Cleveland State @ Green Bay +2.6 140.7 59% 71–79 ✓
Maryland @ Illinois +12.9 140.4 86% 76–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan -7.6 127.5 20% 81–68 ✓
Rider @ Marist +4.4 133.3 72% 60–83 ✓
Tulane @ Tulsa -1.3 154.1 40% 94–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +6.3 135.9 70% 59–50 ✗
Liberty @ Louisiana Tech +3.7 134.9 68% 76–80 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Murray State +0.8 145.9 54% 70–60 ✗
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +3.3 148.4 66% 74–79 ✓
Utah @ Stanford -5.2 155.5 37% 73–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.