Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–11 on winners spread MAE 7.8 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Hofstra @ Purdue +17.9 147.1 88% 66–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee +27.4 135.9 91% 49–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Central Michigan +4.5 137.4 68% 71–66 ✗
Rider @ Stonehill +2.7 147.5 63% 78–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield +5.8 140.2 71% 59–61 ✓
Alabama State @ North Alabama +8.5 146.1 79% 63–71 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Holy Cross -10.2 137.8 17% 75–71 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +2.3 141.6 59% 61–66 ✓
NJIT @ Army +7.2 142.3 68% 62–63 ✓
Delaware State @ Delaware +12.9 141.3 87% 69–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Davidson +9.9 150.9 81% 64–72 ✓
William & Mary @ Old Dominion +7.3 135.9 75% 62–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ VCU +3.2 126.7 52% 73–62 ✗
Cleveland State @ St. Bonaventure +2.8 135.8 62% 42–61 ✓
Brown @ Rhode Island +0.9 131.6 54% 59–58 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +9.6 140.0 77% 53–85 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +5.6 150.2 74% 59–70 ✓
Navy @ West Virginia +16.6 147.9 87% 64–85 ✓
Boston University @ Notre Dame +7.8 135.7 78% 75–81 ✓
Cornell @ Miami +10.6 149.4 81% 105–107 ✓
Colgate @ Binghamton -6.4 150.5 27% 81–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Illinois State +6.7 147.2 72% 81–87 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Illinois -8.7 135.5 20% 76–59 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Tulsa +2.5 152.2 59% 76–72 ✗
Campbell @ Evansville -3.6 136.2 39% 66–72 ✗
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +3.2 141.1 60% 74–71 ✗
Omaha @ Drake +13.6 138.4 87% 65–78 ✓
Nicholls @ Texas Tech +22.1 139.7 91% 71–78 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia Tech +9.0 132.6 78% 49–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southeast Missouri State +9.4 138.4 77% 89–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Indiana +11.2 137.3 86% 65–81 ✓
Manhattan @ Providence +12.7 141.6 85% 59–99 ✓
UConn @ Florida -3.4 147.9 30% 75–54 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Washington State +14.5 137.7 85% 47–68 ✓
Utah Valley @ BYU +3.5 148.8 68% 75–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Grand Canyon +5.4 138.0 67% 69–65 ✗
Arizona State @ SMU -7.2 133.1 25% 75–57 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Vanderbilt +3.2 137.9 56% 74–75 ✓
Towson @ Clemson +5.1 139.9 76% 75–80 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Fresno State +7.5 130.1 74% 56–65 ✓
New Mexico State @ Santa Clara +4.4 152.2 76% 65–66 ✓
Denver @ Sacramento State +3.0 149.1 66% 85–87 ✓
Weber State @ California Baptist +10.4 132.2 82% 52–64 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +13.0 126.6 87% 46–66 ✓
Hawai'i @ UNLV +4.3 131.4 65% 62–77 ✓
Eastern Washington @ California +0.8 130.7 46% 50–48 ✗
Merrimack @ San Francisco +17.4 136.7 89% 51–69 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ USC +8.9 143.6 79% 50–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.