The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–14 on winners spread MAE 8.6 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ Utah +9.3 141.1 80% 95–98 ✓
Rice @ Marshall +8.5 153.2 79% 72–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt +1.9 132.1 62% 68–79 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State +6.1 128.9 72% 77–85 ✓
Fairfield @ Monmouth +6.2 143.0 72% 79–60 ✗
Bucknell @ Colgate +19.7 155.6 90% 75–105 ✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar +3.7 140.7 68% 52–62 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +6.1 134.4 74% 70–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +6.1 148.8 73% 59–101 ✓
Nebraska @ Penn State +5.6 146.0 73% 66–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +12.3 141.0 84% 73–79 ✓
UTEP @ Florida Atlantic -2.3 135.5 40% 70–76 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +23.7 135.4 89% 64–91 ✓
California @ Stanford +6.6 133.3 72% 76–58 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ North Texas +13.7 130.1 87% 56–76 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +8.0 154.5 78% 89–91 ✓
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +2.4 152.1 60% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ Maryland +2.7 130.6 62% 57–68 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia +2.3 131.6 56% 69–72 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +6.9 137.2 71% 72–71 ✗
Temple @ South Florida -2.6 136.2 41% 71–73 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +2.1 134.5 59% 74–73 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah +7.4 143.4 78% 83–91 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State -0.0 149.7 51% 85–63 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +13.0 141.9 86% 87–95 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +6.2 144.1 72% 75–79 ✓
Arizona State @ Oregon +7.5 145.8 76% 73–91 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +6.5 138.5 73% 63–69 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +18.0 139.0 88% 68–74 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech +8.5 139.6 80% 66–70 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +12.5 142.7 85% 66–69 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's -1.3 150.9 42% 77–69 ✓
Tulane @ Tulsa +2.6 129.3 60% 77–70 ✗
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +8.1 143.6 82% 55–78 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State -2.0 130.6 40% 71–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +5.6 151.3 75% 63–74 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +5.1 128.4 67% 60–75 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis -4.7 135.1 38% 56–58 ✗
Oregon State @ UCLA +5.4 136.0 69% 83–79 ✗
Nevada @ Boise State +4.6 143.8 67% 89–82 ✗
Butler @ Creighton +9.1 136.8 79% 56–87 ✓
Morgan State @ Florida A&M -4.4 137.3 30% 77–75 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State -2.7 154.9 34% 79–82 ✗
Oklahoma @ Kansas +6.7 133.8 78% 62–69 ✓
Duke @ Florida State +2.7 151.3 61% 0–1 ✓
UTSA @ Western Kentucky +4.7 148.5 70% 67–80 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers +1.1 132.1 57% 50–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.