The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–13 on winners spread MAE 9.8 28 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Elon @ Drexel +1.6 132.7 55% 56–63 ✓
Wake Forest @ Notre Dame +6.4 140.1 78% 77–80 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Bryant +6.7 133.8 67% 73–68 ✗
Oakland @ Cleveland State +3.4 146.2 69% 69–80 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield -0.7 131.0 50% 58–59 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +2.4 141.5 60% 52–61 ✓
BYU @ Gonzaga +8.5 155.7 81% 78–88 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State -0.7 150.0 49% 75–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +1.1 142.1 53% 80–68 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +6.9 139.3 74% 87–82 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado -0.2 135.5 51% 83–90 ✗
NC State @ Syracuse +1.1 143.0 56% 68–89 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +7.0 131.3 76% 77–66 ✗
San José State @ Wyoming +12.3 154.1 85% 80–111 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +8.4 127.7 81% 67–64 ✗
Marquette @ Georgetown -2.8 141.3 38% 49–68 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +9.3 129.1 85% 62–74 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona State -0.3 146.1 46% 59–64 ✗
Air Force @ UNLV +7.9 128.5 79% 52–80 ✓
Iona @ Siena -1.7 138.4 44% 55–52 ✓
Idaho @ Montana +12.7 137.2 86% 64–69 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +6.5 136.5 73% 67–63 ✗
SE Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +4.8 150.5 72% 63–80 ✓
Butler @ Xavier +4.4 132.5 66% 70–69 ✗
Kansas State @ TCU +3.2 129.6 60% 71–50 ✗
Charlotte @ UTSA +3.8 139.6 69% 62–72 ✓
Duke @ Louisville -1.2 142.3 41% 70–56 ✓
Minnesota @ Northwestern +0.3 141.3 50% 51–46 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.