Arizona State
Sun Devils
64
–
59
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Pac-12 Tournament
Washington State
Cougars
Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -110 WSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -1.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -1.3 (+6.3) | 145.7 (-22.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -1.9 (+6.9) | 145.4 (-22.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -0.5 (+5.5) | 147.8 (-24.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -0.3 (+5.3) | 146.1 (-23.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ASU 73 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WSU 75 – 58 ASU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ASU 77 – 71 WSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ASU 58 – 55 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#120) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#121) | 0.81 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#121) | 1.22 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.510 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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