Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +100 IONA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +3 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -1.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.5 (-1.5) | 137.8 (-30.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.7 (-1.3) | 134.6 (-27.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.4 (-1.6) | 136.3 (-29.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -1.7 (-1.3) | 138.4 (-31.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 6-3 |
| Home | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#159) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#113) | 0.17 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#102) | 0.15 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#71) | 0.524 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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