Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -138 SAC +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +7 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -0.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -0.4 (+7.4) | 135.3 (+37.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -0.2 (+7.2) | 133.1 (+39.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -1.3 (+8.3) | 135.4 (+37.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.2 (+7.2) | 135.5 (+37.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 8-12 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#255) | -4.8 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#298) | -1.20 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#309) | -1.66 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#279) | 0.471 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.