Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -138 NCSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +21 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -1.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.3 (+19.7) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -1.3 (+19.7) | 142.4 (+14.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.2 (+19.8) | 143.3 (+13.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.1 (+19.9) | 143.0 (+14.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#51) | 8.7 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#53) | 1.28 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#56) | 1.62 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#46) | 0.529 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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