Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -225 NAU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -7.9 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -7.0 (-18.0) | 132.0 (+11.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -6.2 (-17.2) | 128.4 (+14.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -6.4 (-17.4) | 133.2 (+9.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -7.0 (-18.0) | 131.3 (+11.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 1-7 |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#240) | -12.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#292) | -2.08 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#298) | -2.72 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#303) | 0.459 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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