Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -900 SJSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +31 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -13.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -11.2 (+19.8) | 153.4 (+37.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -10.6 (+20.4) | 149.5 (+41.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -12.0 (+19.0) | 154.4 (+36.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -12.3 (+18.7) | 154.1 (+36.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WYO 88 – 78 SJSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 SJSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SJSU 66 – 61 WYO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SJSU 82 – 73 WYO |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SJSU 67 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-5 | 0-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#194) | -15.3 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#129) | -1.81 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#140) | -2.19 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#196) | 0.399 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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