Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -1000 IDHO +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -15.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -13.4 (-8.4) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -11.7 (-6.7) | 133.1 (-0.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -13.1 (-8.1) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -12.7 (-7.7) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-4 | 1-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#185) | -16.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#242) | -3.80 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#235) | -4.88 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#184) | 0.355 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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