Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -138 KSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +21 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -4.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.7 (-24.7) | 128.8 (-7.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -2.2 (-23.2) | 127.3 (-6.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.0 (-24.0) | 129.2 (-8.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.2 (-24.2) | 129.6 (-8.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-12 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#134) | -2.5 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#70) | 0.11 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#93) | -0.02 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#111) | 0.468 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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