Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -150 L-MD +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -5.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -6.1 (-10.1) | 136.4 (-6.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -4.8 (-8.8) | 134.8 (-4.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -6.0 (-10.0) | 137.8 (-7.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -6.5 (-10.5) | 136.5 (-6.5) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
Game Analysis
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