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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–6 on winners
spread MAE 11.0
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rider
@
Canisius
|
+4.5 | 143.3 | 69% | 78–76 | ✗ |
App State
@
Georgia State
|
+3.9 | 141.5 | 60% | 80–73 | ✗ |
Mercer
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+2.6 | 143.9 | 63% | 61–69 | ✓ |
Saint Mary's
@
Gonzaga
|
+16.1 | 141.6 | 88% | 55–78 | ✓ |
Drexel
@
Northeastern
|
-0.2 | 133.6 | 47% | 74–67 | ✓ |
Northern Kentucky
@
Oakland
|
-2.1 | 148.0 | 41% | 58–69 | ✗ |
North Dakota State
@
South Dakota
|
-0.2 | 143.2 | 47% | 79–75 | ✓ |
Pepperdine
@
BYU
|
+9.1 | 149.4 | 81% | 77–82 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Pittsburgh
|
+5.1 | 135.4 | 69% | 79–73 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Duke
|
+7.6 | 154.3 | 77% | 51–86 | ✓ |
Iona
@
Quinnipiac
|
-4.0 | 143.1 | 35% | 72–48 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
SE Louisiana
|
-0.3 | 146.0 | 51% | 68–71 | ✗ |
Long Beach State
@
Cal State Northridge
|
+2.1 | 151.9 | 56% | 85–63 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.