LSU New Orleans
Privateers
80
–
63
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Southland
SE Louisiana
Lions
Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA -175 SELA +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -5.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -4.5 (+12.5) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -3.2 (+13.8) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -4.5 (+12.5) | 151.2 (-8.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -4.8 (+12.2) | 150.5 (-7.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#277) | -12.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#324) | -2.34 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#323) | -3.33 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#299) | 0.445 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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