Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NU +100 MINN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +5 | 97 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -0.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-49.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.0 (-5.0) | 142.0 (-45.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -0.7 (-4.3) | 141.4 (-44.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -0.6 (-4.4) | 144.2 (-47.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -0.3 (-5.3) | 141.3 (-44.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 6-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#74) | 8.3 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#80) | 1.57 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#60) | 2.38 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#216) | 0.501 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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