Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +160 MARQ -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +19 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -1.6 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -2.2 (+21.2) | 141.1 (-24.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -1.1 (+20.1) | 138.6 (-21.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -2.4 (+21.4) | 140.8 (-23.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -2.8 (+21.8) | 141.3 (-24.3) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MARQ 76 – 60 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | GTWN 78 – 69 MARQ |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 61 GTWN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MARQ 74 – 66 GTWN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MARQ 91 – 57 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#91) | 7.3 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#81) | 1.47 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#82) | 1.98 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#130) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.