Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -150 ELON +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +7 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -3.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -1.4 (+5.6) | 133.2 (-14.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.8 (+5.2) | 128.1 (-9.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -1.3 (+5.7) | 130.9 (-11.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -1.6 (+5.4) | 132.7 (-13.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 4-7 |
| Home | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#136) | -2.0 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#147) | -0.08 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#152) | -0.39 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#146) | 0.507 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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