Incarnate Word
Cardinals
68
–
80
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Southland
Houston Christian
Huskies
Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +120 HCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -1.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -1.2 (-13.2) | 142.3 (+5.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -1.1 (-13.1) | 138.8 (+9.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -1.6 (-13.6) | 142.4 (+5.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -1.1 (-13.1) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | HCU 81 – 75 UIW |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UIW 73 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UIW 74 – 64 HCU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HCU 81 – 76 UIW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HCU 86 – 83 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-14 | 6-19 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 81.1 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#328) | -14.1 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#337) | -3.09 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.79 (#338) | -4.07 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#325) | 0.390 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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