Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF -225 CP +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +5 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -8.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -7.3 (-12.3) | 140.1 (+28.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -6.1 (-11.1) | 140.3 (+28.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -7.1 (-12.1) | 140.2 (+28.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -6.9 (-11.9) | 139.3 (+29.7) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 78 CP |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CP 94 – 91 CSUF |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CP 100 – 61 CSUF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | CP 98 – 83 CSUF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 4-20 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 5-4 | 3-8 |
| Away | 1-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 59.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#250) | -13.7 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#241) | -2.50 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#227) | -3.09 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#275) | 0.364 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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