Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -333 MIA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -9.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -9.1 (-12.1) | 128.2 (+2.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -8.0 (-11.0) | 127.8 (+3.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -8.5 (-11.5) | 128.2 (+2.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -8.4 (-11.4) | 127.7 (+3.3) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 10-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 4-15 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-5 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#46) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#18) | 0.20 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#25) | 0.28 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#12) | 0.472 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.