Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -600 UAPB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -10.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -10.3 (+1.7) | 128.5 (+7.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -8.8 (+3.2) | 129.4 (+6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -9.7 (+2.3) | 132.3 (+3.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -9.3 (+2.7) | 129.1 (+6.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 3-12 |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#276) | -18.3 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#197) | -2.77 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#248) | -4.13 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#153) | 0.401 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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