Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU +100 ORU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -0.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -0.4 (-2.6) | 148.2 (-1.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -0.5 (-3.5) | 146.1 (+0.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -0.2 (-3.2) | 149.2 (-2.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -0.7 (-2.3) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#205) | -0.47 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#201) | -0.50 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#174) | 0.524 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 80.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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