Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–21 on winners spread MAE 6.9 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Haven @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.0 127.0 51% 84–77 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -2.4 142.3 51% 70–64 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +7.7 150.6 77% 102–82 ✗
Furman @ Wofford +1.0 148.3 61% 76–67 ✗
New Orleans @ Lamar +2.9 144.9 60% 77–71 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine +2.9 155.6 65% 95–92 ✗
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville -6.9 140.7 22% 65–61 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -11.5 143.6 15% 71–72 ✗
Illinois @ UCLA -7.7 146.3 30% 94–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Bradley +1.0 146.2 59% 60–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +15.0 155.5 88% 70–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +8.7 143.5 82% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State -6.4 148.7 30% 80–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Grand Canyon +6.7 145.2 74% 70–65 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -1.4 152.3 47% 62–67 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +13.7 137.5 87% 54–70 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +13.2 146.1 87% 77–78 ✓
Providence @ DePaul +1.4 157.6 58% 71–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma -2.0 164.7 46% 75–71 ✓
Kentucky @ Auburn -1.0 156.6 50% 74–75 ✗
Pacific @ Gonzaga +19.6 141.6 91% 62–71 ✓
UCF @ Utah -2.9 152.7 36% 73–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -2.7 156.9 38% 78–76 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +7.0 140.5 74% 63–67 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.8 156.9 24% 88–80 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +1.7 150.6 62% 72–92 ✓
Utah State @ Nevada -3.9 147.5 35% 77–80 ✗
Santa Clara @ San Francisco -8.0 151.7 23% 94–73 ✓
Portland @ Seattle U +9.2 138.1 82% 59–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +5.1 148.4 71% 75–78 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +4.0 139.5 68% 71–69 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -2.2 157.2 50% 86–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -9.7 143.5 20% 83–67 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -0.5 151.5 39% 69–79 ✗
American University @ Lafayette -3.0 139.8 40% 75–61 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +3.9 146.6 65% 78–67 ✗
Holy Cross @ Bucknell -0.2 135.9 44% 72–63 ✓
Boston University @ Lehigh -0.7 148.7 40% 67–70 ✗
Niagara @ Rider -0.3 129.6 39% 62–67 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan State +8.2 147.0 80% 60–66 ✓
Iona @ Merrimack +5.9 136.4 75% 86–88 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy -0.3 148.1 51% 70–74 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Marist +9.9 140.8 84% 63–65 ✓
Rice @ Tulane +5.6 144.6 73% 75–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +5.6 144.6 74% 85–79 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +2.5 150.7 61% 58–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +5.0 147.2 72% 81–68 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State -1.0 154.9 53% 92–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +3.8 136.4 67% 63–72 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +6.4 129.5 73% 47–68 ✓
Towson @ Drexel -0.6 131.2 37% 62–68 ✗
Milwaukee @ Oakland +9.1 157.0 79% 70–81 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +0.9 143.5 47% 71–84 ✓
UTSA @ Tulsa +24.6 152.1 91% 74–100 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +0.3 139.7 51% 72–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.