And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–18 on winners spread MAE 8.4 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Butler @ St. John's +10.6 159.1 85% 70–92 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +0.4 130.3 44% 50–65 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +3.5 136.6 65% 79–81 ✓
La Salle @ Fordham +2.9 130.1 57% 58–64 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne +3.5 153.4 63% 87–79 ✗
Davidson @ George Mason +8.5 134.5 81% 52–60 ✓
Rice @ East Carolina -0.9 141.8 44% 83–77 ✓
Charlotte @ Temple +3.8 138.6 70% 80–76 ✗
USC @ Iowa +10.7 143.7 83% 72–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +10.7 142.8 83% 74–79 ✓
California @ Florida State -2.6 150.7 36% 61–63 ✗
American University @ Loyola Maryland -5.2 141.6 30% 68–77 ✗
Navy @ Boston University -4.4 139.2 35% 58–50 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.8 158.7 42% 74–65 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +10.8 163.9 85% 58–74 ✓
Mississippi State @ LSU +11.5 152.8 85% 80–66 ✗
Tennessee @ Georgia +3.1 159.1 70% 86–85 ✗
Texas @ Auburn +5.6 156.8 70% 82–88 ✓
West Georgia @ Bellarmine +4.5 152.0 69% 74–77 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +3.0 155.3 68% 100–90 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky -3.5 146.7 31% 90–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida International +3.7 142.9 68% 78–74 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kennesaw State +2.5 158.6 63% 69–72 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +11.0 142.6 85% 78–82 ✓
Xavier @ Seton Hall +5.5 137.1 75% 68–86 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -3.6 139.5 35% 78–77 ✓
North Texas @ Tulsa +12.6 139.4 83% 66–82 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -12.2 148.3 14% 83–73 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City -5.7 154.3 29% 69–61 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -1.4 145.5 43% 71–80 ✗
Marshall @ Texas State -6.4 146.1 29% 68–72 ✗
Old Dominion @ Arkansas State +6.7 157.0 75% 75–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Missouri State -2.2 148.1 35% 80–71 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +2.2 139.5 62% 61–70 ✓
Florida @ South Carolina -7.6 149.6 22% 95–48 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +12.3 145.7 84% 62–94 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +3.0 154.9 61% 70–65 ✗
San Diego @ Pepperdine -1.2 145.6 44% 92–88 ✓
South Florida @ Tulane -8.8 156.2 20% 97–83 ✓
Minnesota @ Wisconsin +9.4 145.1 80% 63–67 ✓
Stanford @ Miami +10.3 148.3 82% 70–79 ✓
Delaware @ New Mexico State +11.6 135.6 87% 73–64 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +0.3 128.0 46% 69–59 ✗
Houston @ TCU -4.0 137.3 32% 79–70 ✓
Seattle U @ Washington State +0.2 142.1 49% 58–70 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +7.6 142.5 77% 51–74 ✓
Oregon State @ Loyola Marymount +4.3 141.6 69% 72–69 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +8.0 138.8 80% 50–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +12.1 147.1 85% 73–88 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon -3.0 136.6 33% 73–57 ✓
Samford @ Furman +8.9 144.7 80% 73–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +4.7 140.0 71% 61–66 ✓
Bryant @ Binghamton -2.3 127.2 37% 60–63 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga +0.5 147.5 42% 81–55 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +17.6 144.6 91% 50–69 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +4.6 137.6 69% 77–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.