Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -500 USC +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -10.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -9.9 (-8.9) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -9.1 (-8.1) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -9.3 (-8.3) | 142.0 (+3.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -10.7 (-9.7) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2025 | USC 99 – 89 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#26) | 10.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#32) | 2.47 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#27) | 2.70 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#53) | 0.597 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.