Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -162 WGA +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -4.9 (-1.9) | 151.7 (-0.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -3.6 (-0.6) | 150.6 (+0.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -3.8 (-0.8) | 151.9 (-0.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -4.5 (-1.5) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 2, 2026 | WGA 87 – 85 BELL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WGA 81 – 76 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#289) | -10.6 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#309) | -1.11 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#306) | -1.95 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#311) | 0.455 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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