We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Atlantic Sun Conference · Knights Hall · February 15, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -2.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money BELL -140 / WGA +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual WGA +5 157 Lost
Massey BELL -1.5 (-6.5)
Massey Totals 151.2 (+5.8)
Bradley-Terry 30%
Weighted B-T 31%
Efficiency Plus ML WGA -0.2 (-4.8) 146.7 (+10.3) 40%
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -0.8 (-5.8) 148.4 (+8.6) 47%
Baseline ML BELL -0.3 (-5.3) 152.8 (+4.2) 44%
Baseline Plus ML BELL -0.2 (-5.2) 150.1 (+6.9) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 BELL 7774 WGA
Jan 2, 2026 WGA 8785 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL WGA
Overall 5-26 6-25
Conference 2-16 4-14
Home 5-10 4-8
Away 0-16 2-15
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L2 W1
Avg Pts For 70.9 67.8
Avg Pts Against 81.3 78.8
Massey -14.0 (#352) -12.3 (#339)
Bradley-Terry -3.96 (#361) -2.52 (#345)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.46 (#361) -3.01 (#343)
RPI 0.343 (#362) 0.394 (#342)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL WGA
FG% 45.0% 42.6%
3PT% 34.7% 29.3%
REB / G 27.9 32.4
OREB / G 6.6 9.7
AST / TO 1.05 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 47.1%
TOV% 17.9% 16.3%
ORB% 20.8% 26.2%
FT Rate 20.9% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.5% 56.9%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 17.2%
DRB% 70.1% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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