Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -148 RICE +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | ECU -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -0.1 (-6.1) | 142.5 (+17.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -0.3 (-6.3) | 139.4 (+20.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -0.2 (-5.8) | 140.4 (+19.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -0.9 (-5.1) | 141.8 (+18.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ECU 85 – 75 RICE |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICE 73 – 60 ECU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICE 70 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#283) | -5.9 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#288) | -1.01 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#294) | -1.39 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#242) | 0.435 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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