Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -115 ECU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +18 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -0.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -0.2 (+17.8) | 138.5 (-16.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -0.6 (+17.4) | 139.5 (-17.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -0.1 (+17.9) | 140.4 (-18.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -0.2 (+17.8) | 140.8 (-18.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ECU 85 – 75 RICE |
| Jan 29, 2026 | RICE 83 – 77 ECU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICE 73 – 60 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#209) | 0.1 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#223) | -0.09 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#219) | 0.01 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#183) | 0.490 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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