Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama A&M @ Samford +17.3 143.2 94% 50–52 ✓
Marshall @ Eastern Kentucky +7.2 179.5 74% 80–69 ✗
UC Irvine @ Fresno State -0.3 108.2 49% 55–63 ✗
Radford @ James Madison +10.8 120.5 84% 70–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ Wichita State +14.6 135.8 91% 58–71 ✓
Drexel @ Abilene Christian +10.6 153.2 83% 56–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Loyola Marymount -1.9 144.9 43% 63–58 ✓
Columbia @ UAlbany +9.0 135.6 79% 59–60 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Wake Forest +24.5 145.1 99% 53–79 ✓
Liberty @ Stephen F. Austin -2.9 130.9 40% 51–63 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Robert Morris -4.9 156.4 33% 85–74 ✓
VCU @ Old Dominion -2.6 105.1 41% 75–66 ✓
Montana State @ St. Thomas +4.2 155.9 65% 72–65 ✗
Rice @ Houston Christian -9.8 144.6 19% 88–73 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina +28.7 162.7 100% 63–80 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Omaha -10.1 140.4 18% 87–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Ole Miss +3.8 133.4 64% 71–48 ✗
Cincinnati @ Xavier +8.8 125.5 79% 63–83 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UT Martin -7.0 142.2 26% 84–75 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Utah State +18.8 153.8 96% 50–82 ✓
Santa Clara @ California -0.2 145.4 49% 60–72 ✗
Denver @ Utah Tech +1.9 154.6 57% 62–82 ✓
UCLA @ Marquette -4.1 159.0 35% 67–56 ✓
Houston @ Alabama +0.0 145.2 50% 82–83 ✓
Cal Poly @ Portland State +5.0 120.1 68% 61–58 ✗
Idaho @ Cal State Bakersfield +15.9 141.6 93% 58–59 ✓
Utah Valley @ Wyoming +12.1 136.2 86% 62–74 ✓
Miami @ Fordham -2.5 144.0 41% 72–66 ✓
Merrimack @ Indiana +18.8 118.0 96% 49–81 ✓
Colgate @ St. John's +7.7 165.8 76% 64–82 ✓
Florida State @ South Carolina -4.7 132.9 34% 65–66 ✗
Jackson State @ Iowa State +21.1 117.5 97% 37–47 ✓
Davidson @ Northeastern -2.3 121.3 42% 79–69 ✓
Fairfield @ William & Mary -9.7 142.5 19% 70–47 ✓
Purdue @ NC State -19.6 157.1 4% 82–72 ✓
Wofford @ Coastal Carolina -1.7 139.4 44% 59–60 ✗
Hampton @ Loyola Maryland +12.9 123.9 88% 54–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charleston +14.2 146.3 90% 76–78 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Dayton -2.5 123.0 41% 57–62 ✗
Navy @ Marist -1.7 129.0 44% 67–61 ✓
Florida A&M @ Akron +11.9 121.1 86% 66–73 ✓
Villanova @ Baylor +3.9 138.5 64% 36–57 ✓
Kansas City @ SIU Edwardsville +4.2 136.3 65% 56–60 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico +9.0 145.7 79% 77–69 ✗
Kent State @ West Virginia +9.0 125.4 79% 50–63 ✓
NJIT @ Northwestern +21.5 139.5 97% 52–70 ✓
Florida @ Maryland -8.9 131.2 21% 68–70 ✗
Long Beach State @ USC +30.6 149.6 100% 62–73 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lipscomb +13.4 148.7 89% 73–65 ✗
Green Bay @ Kansas State +18.3 120.2 95% 64–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.