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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.8
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California Baptist
@
UC Riverside
|
+6.2 | 132.5 | 71% | 54–70 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Stanford
|
+2.4 | 141.1 | 59% | 69–72 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Iona
|
+5.9 | 145.0 | 71% | 77–91 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Pittsburgh
|
-8.1 | 132.1 | 23% | 56–52 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Seton Hall
|
+17.8 | 131.4 | 95% | 63–77 | ✓ |
UC San Diego
@
Seattle U
|
+0.1 | 138.8 | 50% | 51–73 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Chicago State
|
+7.7 | 120.1 | 76% | 70–59 | ✗ |
UMBC
@
Princeton
|
+8.3 | 159.3 | 77% | 77–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.