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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.6
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Radford
@
George Washington
|
+4.4 | 124.9 | 66% | 58–67 | ✓ |
Cleveland State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+15.1 | 130.1 | 92% | 93–98 | ✓ |
Rhode Island
@
Milwaukee
|
-9.5 | 123.9 | 19% | 82–58 | ✓ |
Sacred Heart
@
Columbia
|
-4.2 | 150.8 | 35% | 79–69 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Boston College
|
+19.6 | 121.4 | 96% | 61–57 | ✗ |
Indiana State
@
North Dakota State
|
-1.7 | 140.3 | 44% | 70–77 | ✗ |
Cal Poly
@
Portland
|
+8.7 | 125.6 | 79% | 77–78 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
Louisville
|
+18.7 | 133.4 | 96% | 60–86 | ✓ |
Central Connecticut
@
Stony Brook
|
+16.0 | 139.0 | 93% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.