Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -21.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UNC -2800 ELON +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -27.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -25.5 (-8.5) | 154.0 (-11.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -25.3 (-8.3) | 154.5 (-11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -22.5 (-5.5) | 155.5 (-12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -22.3 (-5.3) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | UNC 90 – 76 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#30) | -10.9 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#42) | -3.94 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#42) | -5.17 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#22) | 0.389 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 43.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 39.9% |
Game Analysis
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