Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -18.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -8.8 (-1.2) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | PUR -10.9 (+0.9) | 151.8 (+2.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PUR -9.7 (-0.3) | 152.9 (+1.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -10.6 (+0.6) | 153.5 (+0.5) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | PUR 71 – 61 NCSU |
| Apr 6, 2024 | PUR 63 – 50 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-10 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#149) | 20.2 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#124) | 2.53 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#116) | 4.07 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#166) | 0.621 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 41.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 60.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 39.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.