Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PUR -260 NCSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -4.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -3.0 (+7.0) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -3.2 (+6.8) | 142.0 (-10.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -2.0 (+8.0) | 141.9 (-9.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -2.2 (+7.8) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 6, 2024 | PUR 63 – 50 NCSU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | PUR 82 – 72 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#39) | 7.4 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#31) | 1.36 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.34 (#22) | 2.22 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#15) | 0.511 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 43.0% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.