Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
| Money | AKR -1100 FAMU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -12.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.9 (-4.9) | 130.5 (+8.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -9.1 (-2.1) | 130.7 (+8.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -9.7 (-2.7) | 130.5 (+8.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -8.9 (-1.9) | 129.8 (+9.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#202) | -9.1 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#221) | -2.29 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#228) | -3.43 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.356 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 20.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 38.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 13.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.