Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 116.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -3.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 103.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -1.8 (-7.2) | 128.1 (+12.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -0.9 (-8.1) | 122.3 (+18.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -2.0 (-7.0) | 123.8 (+17.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -0.2 (-8.8) | 125.3 (+15.7) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | VCU 77 – 54 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#226) | 5.4 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#213) | 1.13 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#220) | 1.58 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#212) | 0.566 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 40.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 27.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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