Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -320 ODU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -9.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.2 (+17.8) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -8.1 (+14.9) | 145.0 (-14.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -8.3 (+14.7) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -9.3 (+13.7) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | VCU 75 – 66 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#27) | 7.5 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#51) | 2.57 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#26) | 4.32 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#61) | 0.793 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 80.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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