Betting Lines
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -130 MRSH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -6.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.6 (-14.6) | 159.5 (-10.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -4.3 (-15.3) | 160.4 (-11.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.9 (-14.9) | 160.8 (-11.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.5 (-15.5) | 160.7 (-11.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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