Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -18.0 Push |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -19.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -15.5 (+2.5) | 130.5 (+15.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -17.0 (+1.0) | 129.7 (+16.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -17.7 (+0.3) | 130.3 (+15.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -19.0 (-1.0) | 130.7 (+15.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#93) | -9.4 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#100) | -2.93 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#76) | -4.16 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#198) | 0.398 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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