Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -13.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -8.8 (-16.8) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -9.9 (-17.9) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -10.4 (-18.4) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -8.7 (-16.7) | 146.1 (-8.1) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | LIP 78 – 71 TNST |
| Dec 11, 2022 | TNST 90 – 85 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#211) | -10.1 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#179) | -3.30 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#193) | -4.54 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.277 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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