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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
35–14 on winners
spread MAE 9.9
49 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.4 | 150.2 | 70% | 57–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.8 | 136.7 | 82% | 81–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 140.2 | 56% | 63–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.7 | 135.1 | 89% | 57–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 131.6 | 65% | 78–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.1 | 129.3 | 61% | 74–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.1 | 133.7 | 81% | 70–67 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.9 | 147.5 | 42% | 87–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.7 | 142.3 | 57% | 72–52 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.5 | 132.1 | 59% | 50–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.2 | 146.1 | 69% | 59–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.1 | 139.5 | 70% | 76–55 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.4 | 144.3 | 60% | 85–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.1 | 143.5 | 61% | 87–84 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.2 | 141.7 | 60% | 57–60 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.4 | 145.0 | 73% | 57–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 149.8 | 57% | 67–59 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.1 | 137.6 | 51% | 66–61 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.6 | 144.6 | 82% | 60–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.6 | 152.6 | 82% | 67–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 134.0 | 72% | 67–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.5 | 147.7 | 41% | 67–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.2 | 139.6 | 58% | 79–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.8 | 145.0 | 28% | 70–60 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.5 | 137.4 | 33% | 66–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 137.6 | 52% | 73–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 131.2 | 59% | 56–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.9 | 145.8 | 51% | 91–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.5 | 152.9 | 76% | 71–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.0 | 141.2 | 56% | 69–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 158.1 | 83% | 49–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.5 | 144.0 | 87% | 75–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 142.0 | 58% | 62–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.6 | 133.2 | 81% | 45–60 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 145.3 | 69% | 66–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 132.0 | 79% | 63–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 135.8 | 48% | 75–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 130.7 | 57% | 66–68 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 134.4 | 47% | 74–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 147.9 | 71% | 65–78 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 151.7 | 43% | 90–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.8 | 127.1 | 57% | 59–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 133.1 | 60% | 66–57 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.8 | 142.6 | 77% | 55–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 135.5 | 79% | 57–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 144.7 | 71% | 78–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.6 | 143.3 | 77% | 74–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.7 | 143.8 | 77% | 71–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 138.1 | 71% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.