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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
26–9 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
35 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.7 | 135.9 | 65% | 71–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.3 | 135.6 | 83% | 57–60 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.4 | 134.2 | 50% | 60–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.3 | 140.5 | 67% | 81–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.3 | 136.5 | 58% | 76–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.2 | 150.8 | 76% | 68–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 138.8 | 67% | 58–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.7 | 131.3 | 82% | 65–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 136.2 | 51% | 64–57 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.5 | 147.2 | 64% | 86–76 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.1 | 144.3 | 68% | 73–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.3 | 140.1 | 68% | 81–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 136.4 | 72% | 62–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 137.2 | 68% | 77–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.6 | 137.4 | 78% | 59–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.0 | 141.5 | 63% | 75–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.4 | 154.4 | 52% | 80–74 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.5 | 145.0 | 59% | 70–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 150.6 | 61% | 61–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 148.5 | 40% | 76–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.4 | 133.5 | 86% | 62–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 141.1 | 87% | 76–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.5 | 136.6 | 74% | 73–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 130.6 | 77% | 57–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.4 | 130.3 | 87% | 51–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 125.5 | 63% | 51–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.3 | 142.8 | 66% | 52–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.9 | 142.9 | 78% | 59–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.7 | 143.2 | 83% | 56–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.4 | 136.3 | 83% | 55–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.5 | 143.8 | 88% | 56–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 148.1 | 71% | 85–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 144.8 | 64% | 78–74 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.9 | 150.0 | 44% | 83–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 141.6 | 75% | 73–83 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.